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Pennsylvania

Democrat Josh Shapiro leads Republican Doug Mastriano in latest Pennsylvania gubernatorial poll

HARRISBURG, Pa. (WHTM) – Democrat Josh Shapiro leads Republican Doug Mastriano by double digits in a new WHTM/Emerson College Poll/The Hill Poll.

In a poll of 1,000 Pennsylvania candidates, Shapiro’s approval rating was 50.6%, more than 10 percentage points higher than Mastriano’s 40.5%. About 6.5% were undecided and 2.3% chose a third party candidate.

Since August, Shapiro has extended his 3-point lead over Mastriano to 10 points.

Regardless of who they support, 61% of voters surveyed believed Shapiro would become governor.

More Republicans reported being more likely to support Shapiro than Democrats said they would support Mastriano. A poll found that 15.2% of his Republicans supported Shapiro, while 8% of his Democrats voted for Mastriano.

Shapiro topped all educational ranges except high school degrees and below. Shapiro’s biggest lead was graduate degree holders, with 67% support.

In the age group, Shapiro topped all ranges, while Mastriano was within margin of error for voters aged 50-64. Mastriano and Shapiro had roughly equal numbers of support among white and Hispanic voters, but Shapiro had his 65% lead among African Americans.

“Since last month, President Biden’s approval rating in Pennsylvania has risen four points, while disapproval has fallen six points. It is not seen equally in the US Senate and Governor races.

83% of voters believe it is somewhat important (18%) or very important (65%) for candidates running for governor or senator to participate in debates before the November election. increase. 17% said it wasn’t very important (11%) or not at all important (6%).

At this time, Shapiro and Mastriano have not agreed to the debate.

President Biden has 43% support among Pennsylvania voters, but 51% disapprove of his job.

“Since last month, President Biden’s approval rating in Pennsylvania has risen four points, while disapproval has fallen six points. It is not seen equally in the US Senate and Governor races.

In the hypothetical election between President Biden and former President Trump, Trump leads Biden between 46% and 45% of Pennsylvania voters. 6% are in favor of someone else and 3% are undecided.

About the recent FBI raid on Donald Trump’s Mar-a-Lago estate, 38% said they would be more or less likely to endorse Trump in 2024, and 33% said they would endorse the former president. 29% said they would vote no different in 2024, with 29% saying they would be less likely to support Trump in 2024.

The economy is the most important issue for 39% of Pennsylvania voters, followed by threats to democracy (14%) and access to abortion (13%).

Voters were asked whether they were more or less likely to vote in the 2022 election by forgiving $10,000 student loan debt to borrowers with annual incomes under $125,000. 47% are either very likely (40%) or somewhat likely (7%) to vote, and 47% say voting makes no difference.

methodology

The Emerson College poll of Pennsylvania voters will be conducted September 23-26, 2022. The sample consisted of n=1,000 highly probable general election voters with a margin of error (MOE) of +/- 3 percentage points. The dataset is weighted by gender, age, education, race, political affiliation, and region based on the 2022 voter turnout model. It’s important to remember that demographic subsets have a smaller sample size and therefore a larger margin of error. Data were collected using a sample of mobile phones using SMS-to-web, his web survey by email, an online panel, and a landline interactive voice response (IVR) system.

https://www.wkbn.com/news/elections/shapiro-leads-mastriano-in-latest-pennsylvania-governor-race-poll/ Democrat Josh Shapiro leads Republican Doug Mastriano in latest Pennsylvania gubernatorial poll

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