London (AP) —The World Health Organization estimates that approximately 15 million people died during the first two years of the pandemic, either due to the coronavirus or its impact on the overwhelming health system. This is more than double the current official death toll of 6 million.
Most of the deaths occurred in Southeast Asia, Europe and the Americas, according to a WHO report published Thursday.
Tedros Adhanom Gebreyes, Secretary of the United Nations Health Agency, described the calculated numbers as “calm” and said countries should be encouraged to invest more in their ability to put down future health emergencies. rice field.
WHO has imposed scientists on determining the actual number of deaths from COVID-19 from January 2020 to the end of last year. They have 13.3 million to 16.6 million people due to some factor in the impact of the pandemic on the healthcare system, such as cancer patients who could not seek treatment directly with the coronavirus or when the hospital was full of COVID patients. Estimated that a person died.
Based on that range, scientists came up with a total of about 14.9 million.
Estimates are based on country-reported data and statistical modeling, but only about half of the countries provided the information. WHO said it has not yet analyzed data to distinguish between direct deaths from COVID-19 and deaths associated with pandemic effects, but authorities are planning future projects to investigate death certificates. ..
“This may seem like just a bean counting exercise, but having these WHO numbers is very important to understand how to fight and keep up with future pandemics. “Dr. Albertco, an infectious disease expert at Yale, said. A graduate school of public health that has nothing to do with WHO research.
For example, Ko escapes COVID-19 with about one-twentieth of the US per capita mortality rate due to South Korea’s decision to invest heavily in public health after suffering from a serious outbreak of MERS. Said I was able to.
Accurate counting of COVID-19 mortality is problematic throughout the pandemic, as reported cases confirmed represent only a small portion of the devastation caused by the virus, primarily for limited testing. was. Government figures reported to WHO and other aggregates held by Johns Hopkins University have reported more than 6.2 million viral deaths to date.
Scientists at the Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington calculated that more than 18 million COVIDs died between January 2020 and December 2021 in a recent study published in the journal Lancet.
A team led by Canadian researchers estimated that more than 3 million coronavirus deaths occurred in India alone. According to a new analysis by WHO, the number of missed deaths in India ranged from 3.3 million to 6.5 million.
In a post-publication statement of WHO data, India challenged the methodology of UN agencies. The Ministry of Health and Family Welfare of India called the method of analysis and data collection “suspicious” and complained that new mortality estimates were released “without properly addressing India’s concerns.”
Samira Asma, senior director of WHO, acknowledged that “numbers are sometimes controversial” and that all estimates are only estimates of the catastrophic effects of the virus.
“There was some data that was very clear and missing throughout the pandemic,” Asma told reporters at a press conference Thursday. “Basically, we were all caught unprepared.”
Ko may also explain some protracted mysteries about the pandemic, such as why Africa appears to be the least affected by the virus, despite low vaccination rates, WHO’s new numbers. Said there is.
“Is the mortality rate very low because we couldn’t count the number of deaths, or was there some other factor to explain it?” He cites much higher mortality rates in the United States and Europe. And asked.
Dr. Bharat Pancania, a public health expert at the University of Exeter in the United Kingdom, said the world would never approach the measurement of true victims of COVID-19, especially in poor countries.
“If there is a large outbreak where people die on the streets due to lack of oxygen, their bodies are abandoned, or people have to be cremated because of cultural beliefs, how many people are we? You won’t know if you’ve died, “he explained.
According to Pancania, the estimated death toll for COVID-19 is still inferior to the 1918 Spanish flu pandemic estimated by experts, but despite advances in modern medicine, including vaccines, it is very high. The fact that many people have died is embarrassing.
He also warned that the cost of COVID-19 could be far more damaging in the long run, given the increasing burden of taking care of people with long-term COVID.
“In the Spanish flu, there were some (lung) illnesses that people were suffering from after the flu, but that was all,” he said. “There was no permanent immunological condition currently seen with COVID.”
“We don’t know how long a person with a long COVID will die, or if repeated infections will cause more problems,” Pancania said.
Krutika Pathi and Ashok Sharma from New Delhi contributed to this report.
Follow AP’s coverage of pandemics at https://apnews.com/hub/coronavirus-pandemic
Approximately 15 million deaths associated with COVID-19 – Daily Local
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